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  • srkamath
    07-17 11:42 AM
    The Problem is isolating EB-2 India from the Perm Approvals.

    EB2 were ~ 35% of India approvals between Mar-05 to Oct-05, then it ramped up to ~65% - 70% for most of FY 2006.

    Total EB2 IN cases per year 2006 onwards were north of 18,000, which implies at least 40,000 Visas including dependants.

    Method: Apply filters for - Approved - India - Level I - bakers, cooks, elementary school teachers etc.
    This will slightly overestimate the EB2 IN numbers.
    Remember to remove the previous year's applicants as their PD will be the previous year, add them to the prev. year's estimate.





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  • valuablehurdle
    07-11 02:08 PM
    See

    www.canadaimmigrants.com





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  • NNReddy
    06-15 07:52 PM
    I am certainly hoping that I will get by EOY 2011. It's more than hope, I feel pretty confident that by that time I should get it. Just mark my words, come back on dec 31, 2011 and check with me. You have to believe before you get it. Have faith guys. Sooner or later the man who wins is the one who thinks he can!!!!





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  • Ramba
    03-30 02:14 PM
    Ramba, can you please update your profile? I am surprised a Brazilian knows much about Indian politics.

    If a Italian citizen controll the major Party of India; why not a Brazilian knows more?:)

    Any way I will update soon....



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  • andycool
    09-17 07:46 AM
    Here are the authentic numbers from FLCDataCenter.com (http://flcdatacenter.com/CasePerm.aspx)

    My analysis from those mdb files: (they are tricky because the data is for FY2005 while the priority date calculations we are doing are for the calendar year)

    calendar year 2005 ( received date between 3/19/2005 - 12/31/2005) = 8645
    year 2006 (rcv date between 1/1/2006 - 9/27/2006) = 15008

    after this it gets bad since the data has no receipt date, only certified date. my estimate is around 12000 for those 3 months of 2006.(total number of certified PERMs between 10/2/2006 - 03/31/2007 = 13873)

    total PERM approvals with PD between march 2005 and Dec 2006 ~ 37000

    If EB2 is 50%, we are talking ~19000, with an avg of 2.5 GCs per PERM, we need 47,500 GCs between Mar 05 and Jan 07.

    Good luck every one :(:D:mad:


    These numbers are not correct .....

    the total numbers of perm certified for india from March 2005 - March 2006 is ~ 11000 this includes all EB cases . I dont know how you got the number 37000 .

    this is from FLCDataCenter.com (http://flcdatacenter.com/CasePerm.aspx)
    Thanks





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  • la6470
    01-17 12:31 AM
    Please read this article.

    The Insightful Immigration Blog � Commentaries on Immigration Policy, Cases and Trends: NEW USCIS MEMO ON EMPLOYER-EMPLOYEE RELATIONSHIP FOR H-1B PETITIONS: IS IT A WAY TO KEEP CERTAIN WORKERS OUT? (http://cyrusmehta.blogspot.com/2010/01/new-uscis-memo-on-employer-employee.html)

    I feel IV can join hands with AILA on this to help us in this situation.

    Any new renewals or new H1 filings are bound to be denied unless its a direct employer vs employee relationship. Third party placement indications are bound to be targeted for denial!

    We are literaly doomed. Given the slugglishness of the GC process this is bound to cripple us down.

    I am feeling sad for those H1B guys who were deported out of Newark thanks to these crooked laws. The laws may be right in their perspective, but they do not understand the havoc it would have created in the lives of those who felt the impact.

    I wish and pray for the good of all and those GC/H1B aspirants during these troubled times now and up ahead.

    Thanks for the post. I have also expressed my opinion in Mr Mehta's blog who was courageous enough to spell out in clear terms the discriminatory practices of USCIS. We should in no uncertain terms, pull down the mask that USCIS is wearing while practicing pure discrimination and segregation - that is completely alien to the American constitution and society.



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  • go_guy123
    06-11 04:04 AM
    ratturani, i am seeing an increasing number of posts that state the facts as clearly as you have stated... thats great... now i think somewhere some day, someone will float a good idea of motivating employers such as MS, Intel, BAC etc to fight for us instead of trying to motivate only the congress... see, we dont have too much of power in congress... :-(

    The earlier people realize it the better it is. GC for non EB 1 - India is over.

    Employer will get motivated only when they feel the need. As of now they dont need EB reform as H1B is serving the purpose. Its like chasing a mirage in the desert. My friends who didnt chase GC are the ones doing professionally well. Those who have stayed on the GC boat have seen their careers stagnate and destroyed.

    However I have still seen many Indians in US oblivious or ignorant about it including my cousin.





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  • saketkapur
    07-15 07:42 PM
    Hi
    I filed my I-485 in July last year. My PD is EB2-Feb 2007. I could not file for my wife since she is pursuing her medical residency on a J1 visa with the 2 year HRR requirement.
    My queries are as follows:
    1. For the interfiling to happen does she need to be done with her J1 waiver or even when she is pursuing it as that is a H1B visa and I will be the principal applicant?
    3. If I get my green card before she is done with her waiver then can I still file for her later or will her case then be treated as a family based petition?
    I will really appreciate if you can provide some insight regarding the same.
    regards
    Saket Kapur



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  • andy007
    07-03 10:18 PM
    Hi Guys,

    Can you please post Media Links on this issue .. (CNN, ... etc) Thanks





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  • newbie2020
    07-03 09:41 PM
    My LC applied in Feb 2008
    LC approved Apr 2008
    I-140 Applied May 2008

    My 6th yr H1B expires Dec 2008
    H1B Maxout Jan 2008

    I am short by around 20 days Should i recapture the days by going out of country for 20 days and apply H1B 1yr extension, Will i Qualify for 3 yrs in this case...?

    or should i just Apply for I-140 PP in Oct 2008 and 3 yr H1B Extension without worrying about recapturing 20 days.



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  • GC9180
    09-25 03:20 PM
    monthly number calculations not quarterly or yearly

    http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/forum5-all-other-green-card-issues/628361-useful-links-how-visa-allocation-happens.html#post967308



    http://www.state.gov/documents/organization/87963.pdf

    from the above doc

    "9 FAM APPENDIX D, 405 NUMERICAL CONTROL"

    .... Each month a determination is made regarding the number of visas that can be made
    available on a worldwide basis. .......
    Numbers are made available in the chronological order of the applicant’s
    priority dates. The monthly cut-off dates, which are used to determine
    whether an applicant’s case is eligible for final interview, are published in the
    Visa Bulletin available on the CA Intranet site....".





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  • sounakc
    07-22 01:27 PM
    I have been following this thread for last couple of days and I feel I need to make few points. I remember when this amway/qucikstar thing started several of my close friends got entangled and tried to involve me. However, every time I bailed myself out by clearly mentioning to them "Right now, making lot of money is not in my top priorities. I want to focus on my carrier." Fortunately, I was able to fend off the proposals and clearly make my point.

    In this thread, several of you are mentioning to ridicule, diminish, embarrass, and even socially out casting an amway/quickstar member. I feel its going a little bit too far. If you dont like to be in the amway/quickstar business stay clear of it, nobody will be able to force you in it. Setting up anti-amway websites, sharing names of the "bugging" amway members, distributing their phone numbers, and destroying their social reputation is harming the person personally, not the amway/quickstar business. We all know by now the amway/quickstar is a scam, majority of its signed members end up losing valuable time and money. How do you feel if some of your mentioned action emotionally push a distressed person off the cliff. Think about it a bit !!!



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  • snram4
    01-18 10:16 AM
    It is true.They were implemented stirctly. But to cheat that many of bodyshoppers are creating fake Paystubs. Getting just payroll expenses and tax from consultant and creating paystubs. How do you prevent that? When good faith effort fails more and more regulations are coming. If our bodyshoppers are honest there would have no regulations like that.

    All your relatives are like you only...just plain dump.:D The salary on bench is already stricly enforced. First they asked for end client verification. Now employer-employee verification. First they should fix the backlog for GC.





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  • boreal
    01-24 12:26 PM
    I think, it is too light a sentence for the crook

    hehehe, i dont think the sentence is too light - the US Prison system has so many jokes about the kinds of characters inside them...Hope this mandalapa guy gets a 'great' roomie - Once he comes out he would think twice about 'screwing' genuine GC applicants then - know what i mean??!!!!



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  • gomirage
    06-14 12:23 AM
    so what are the ones that fall below on points supposed to do ? pack and leave after 10 plus years of being here ?

    The point system would only apply to new applicants. All those already in line will proceed according to existing system. Worked well in Canada's system.





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  • Legal
    07-23 12:28 PM
    I am estimating around 75K EB2 AOS approvals this year. Please check my analysis here. The analysis is based on statistics, testimonies, and spill over from FB to EB as estimated by Ron Gother. The analysis was couple of months old. I believe it still stands.

    http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/showpost.php?p=246481&postcount=1422

    Apart from total number of EB2 visas this year, one thing that is crucial here is how many visas are already used up. And thus how many visas are left for this year.

    In the USCIS testimony, it was stated that they already used up 65% of the "target" in 5 months. Assuming, they used up atleast 30% more in next 5 months, there is only 5% to 10% of visas left over from their "target" number of visas. Did their "target" included spill over? No one knows. Knowing that will put us in better position to estimate the PD progress.

    Though the EB2 moved until June 2006, I am hoping that most of the people before 2005 March should get approved. In that case, even if it retrogresses, it will fall back to March 2005. Once we reach March 2005, we have all statistics from DOL. So, would be easier to estimate.


    There are 20 K EB visas left from the regular EB category for this fiscal and there are minimum of 20k FB visas which spill over for EB.

    Thus conservative estimate 40k visas are available for use before Sep 30th. Liberal estimate the numbers could be higher.

    More likley to happen is most EB-2 upto Dec 2005 getting approved, many in early 2006 getting approved.



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  • sri1309
    09-23 07:23 AM
    I would still puruse removing quotas unconditionally. Not everyone will want to buy a house here. We can always propose buying houses will help fix housing crisis, but that shouldnt be a must.
    Instead, I would suggest pay $5K or $10K to expedite it. I am sure many people want to take this. If we are talking about 500,000 people, then with a $5K premium processing, it will generate $2,500,000,000. Is that 2.5 billion.. Not bad. This step wioll not hurt many.

    Sri.





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  • user1205
    02-12 02:51 PM
    9 moths and 5 days for me :-)


    Yeah, Tell me about it!!!

    Just two more months and mine would have been current!!!!





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  • raysaikat
    07-16 09:03 PM
    This whole thread is speculation, your basic assumption itself is wrong. The horizonal spill over is not a permanent policy or trend which will be practised. You should read the INA law clearly. But if this speculation makes you happy, enjoy! :)

    It is a "permanent" policy. There was no change in the law. USCIS was interpreting the law incorrectly. Now they have corrected themselves with the congressional input. This will not change.

    There could of course be a new law and then things might change.





    unitednations
    02-13 03:21 PM
    What about paragraph 5 that I have posted up somewhere ???
    Does that allow the 7% limit to be exceeded or not ?


    That is why we need more supply.....Once supply is more they can go over 7%...


    Originally; I had interpreted the paragraph to mean if the total visas by category i.e, total visas in eb1 are unused then a country can go over 7% limit in that category (horiziontal spillover).

    However; the law is determining total as total visas for all EB categories as a whole. Therefore, there has to be unused visas from the 140,000 for a country to go over 7%.

    The mystery of horizontal verus vertical was plain to see in November 2005 visa bulletin. There is no mystery about it anymore. It is plain to see for everyone. If they want to litigate it; then it is right from the horses mouth on an offical document of how it is done. I would use that note in the bulletin to litigate if you believe your position is correct; ie., horiztonal rather then vertical.





    chanduv23
    02-04 09:10 AM
    :(

    http://www.murthy.com/nflash/nf_020207.html

    Looks like the final version may be different and may have some loopholes to satisfy AILA and employer lobby.



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